NFL Betting - Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos Week 17

NFL Betting - Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos Week 17

December 27, 2019

Despite struggling mightily down the stretch run, Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders still have a shot to reach the playoffs despite the fact that they will finish with a losing record. While Denver has nothing left to play for, the Broncos would like nothing better than to keep their longtime AFC West division rivals out of the playoffs by getting the big win at home in Week 17. With both teams going all-out for the win in this season-ending showdown, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NFL Week 17 odds.

Raiders vs Broncos NFL 2019 Week 17

  • When?: Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 4:25 PM ET
  • Where?: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
  • Raiders vs Broncos Live: CBS
  • NFL Opening Odds: Denver -3 / Total: 40.5

Why Bet On Oakland (7-8)

The Raiders might have lost four of their last five, but there are some good reasons to believe Oakland will win and cover the spread as a 3-point road dog. First, Oakland still, unbelievably, has a shot to reach the playoffs. The Raiders need a win in Week 17, combined with an Indianapolis win at Jacksonville and losses by the Steelers and Titans in their respective Week 17 matchups against the Ravens and Texans respectively.

“No one thought we’d be playing for the playoffs in Week 17, let’s be real,” Raiders quarterback Derek Carr said earlier this week.

The Raiders should also be motivated to get the win here, seeing as how this could be their very last game in Oakland. The Raiders are also coming into this contest off a 24-17 win over the Chargers last weekend that snapped a four-game skid. Oakland averages 19.9 points per game (24th) while allowing 26.9 points per contest defensively (27th).

  • Raiders are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog.
  • Raiders are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 road games.
  • Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Why Bet On Denver (6-9)

The Broncos are also looking good coming into Week 17. Denver has won three of their last four including a convincing 27-17 win over Detroit last weekend. More importantly, the Broncos have been lifted by the play of rookie quarterback Drew Lock and they are quite literally praying that he can become their long-term answer under center after struggling mightily to find a competent quarterback the last few seasons.

“I’m going to approach it like I’m the guy,” Lock told ESPN about being the starting quarterback in 2020. “Once I took my first step out on the field as a starter, that was my mentality, I wasn’t going to lose it, I was going to keep it, that was the mindset I had, that’s the kind of guy I want to be for this place, that’s the kind of guy this place deserves.”

Lock is the first rookie in franchise history to win three of his first four starts and he’s looked solid by completing 64.8 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and three interceptions.

“He’s done enough to show that he definitely could be the guy,” head coach Vic Fangio told reporters. “We’re looking for that to be the case.”

Oakland has gone 2-5 on the road this season while Denver has gone 4-3 at home. The Broncos average a paltry 17.7 points per game (27th) while limiting the opposition to just 20.1 points per contest defensively (10th). Underrated running back Phillip Lindsay needs 42 yards to become the fourth player in franchise history to rush for 1,000 in each of his first two seasons.

  • Broncos are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC West.
  • Broncos are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.

Expert Analysis and Prediction Raiders vs Broncos

The Raiders might have a shot to reach the playoffs, but I don’t see it happening because I’ve got the Broncos taking care of business in this week 17 finale because of their superior defense and improved play on offense, thanks to the play of Drew Lock. Denver has scored 23 points or more in three of their last four while scoring 27 or more in two of those contests, including putting 38 points on the board against Houston three weeks ago.

The favorite in this AFC West rivalry has gone 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings while the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. While Oakland has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, the Raiders are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and a uninspiring 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. With the Broncos going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, I like the Denver Broncos to win and cash in!

Pick: Denver 27 Oakland 21